Napoli are strong home favorites at 1.62 odds with approximately 61% implied probability. The odds reflect their superior home record and current form. Lazio's away odds of 5.6 suggest low confidence in an upset. Backing the home team with such dominant odds provides value for a side playing in their stadium.

Under 2.25 goals is priced at 1.85 with 54% implied probability, suggesting bookmakers expect a tightly contested match. Both teams to score is only 2.1 odds, meaning markets anticipate defensive solidity. With Lazio likely playing cautiously away from home, a lower-scoring contest at 1.85 offers reasonable value.

This combination at 2.50 odds (40% probability) reflects a likely scenario: Napoli winning while keeping Lazio out. Lazio's visiting status typically means defensive focus. Napoli's home advantage combined with BTTS No at these odds suggests they'll score but Lazio won't, creating a clean home victory worth backing.